SGP Challenge: Pro Bettor vs. Huddle Quant

Welcome to our Superbowl Special! It's a showdown of sharp minds as a professional bettor takes on Huddle’s very own quant expert, Toni Ruscic, in crafting the ultimate Same Game Parlay (SGP) picks.

The Super Bowl is only a few days away. Will the Kansas City Chiefs’ complete the first-ever three-peat in the history of the NFL? Or will the Eagles play spoiler to the dynastic Chiefs, with Saquon Barkley cementing his status as having the best single-season running back year in NFL history?

Pro Bettor Picks

For my picks, I’m taking the Chiefs moneyline. At this point, I think the Chiefs are near inevitable. I don’t see a situation where the Chiefs don’t win, to be frank. They are playing elite ball on both sides (offense and defense). They get timely calls from the refs, intentional or not. They have perhaps the greatest non-Tom Brady QB in the history of the game, along with one of the best offensive masterminds at head coach in NFL history. They have a top-3 all-time tight end, an elite young wideout in Xavier Worthy, and a capable trio of veterans with big-game experience. Chiefs moneyline.

I’m also taking Mahomes ATD scorer. He just ran for two scores (and 43 yards against the bills). Though he’s perhaps best known for scoring touchdowns on the ground against Buffalo (3 touchdowns in 3 playoff games), he did have 44 rushing yards against the Eagles in the Super Bowl only a few seasons ago. 

I think that DeAndre Hopkins finally gets more involvement in this game. I’m not saying that he’s going to have a breakout performance, but I could see him posting a 3/34 type of stat line. He should be involved more. 

Lastly, for those of you who forgot, DeVonta Smith was actually the Eagles leading receiver the last time around (7 catches for 100 yards) against the Chiefs in the Super Bowl. Smith would be the WR1 on most teams if not for the fact that A.J. Brown exists. He’s been excellent in this playoff run, posting 12 catches on 12 targets for 121 yards - pedestrian numbers, but no drops. If Philly wants any chance at winning this game, my recommendation would be for Hurts to look for Smith earlier and often (I’m predicting at least 7 targets). 

Huddle Quant Picks

• Travis Kelce (KAN) Over 62.5 receiving yards
• Dallas Goedert (PHI) Over 51.5 receiving yards
• Patrick Mahomes (KAN) Under 288.5 passing + rushing yards
• Jalen Hurts (PHI) Under 9.5 rushing attempts
• Philadelphia Eagles Moneyline

I'm backing both tight ends to go over their receiving yards despite facing tough defenses. Goedert is in great form, and Kelce is a playoff legend. He ranks first in career postseason receptions and second in receiving yards, with 2,039 yards in 24 playoff games—an average of 85 yards per game, well above the 62.5-yard line.

I expect the game to be a bit slower and less efficient. The Eagles' defense is the best this year, allowing just 185 passing yards and 105 rushing yards per game. I'm backing the Eagles in this matchup and taking Mahomes to go under 288.5 passing and rushing yards. No three-peat.
Hurts having lot of rushing attempts on famous “Tush-push” but I am expecting him not get much regular runs other than tush-push or scrambling to avoid a sack

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